Financial Feasibility Analysis and Monte Carlo Risk Assessment of PT Satya Amerta Havenport in the North Morowali Port Development Project
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Abstract
This study aims to analyze the financial feasibility and Monte Carlo risk of PT Satya Amerta Havenport in the North Morowali port development project. The investment analysis methods used include Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Payback Period (PP), and Profitability Index (PI), which are part of the capital budgeting method. This study is expected to provide a framework for financial feasibility studies under various scenarios. Through calculations using the NPV, IRR, PP, and PI methods, it is hoped that PT Satya Amerta Havenport can make decisions and analyze whether the invested capital can be recovered according to the predetermined schedule with an acceptable level of risk. This study also evaluates the risks that may be faced during the development process using Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis. Based on the research findings, the researcher concludes that investment development using PP, NPV, IRR, and PI in the North Morowali port development project is feasible. The development of the North Morowali port project, simulated through the Monte Carlo method, demonstrates a high level of investment confidence.
Keywords:
Monte Carlo Simulation Payback Period Net Present Value Internal Rate of Return Profitability IndexReferences
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